In 1897 an Italian mathematician Pareto had undertaken a study of income distribution in England in which 20% of the population accounted for 80% of the wealth. When this data was compared to many other countries in Europe, the ratio remained the same. Pareto had discovered not just a law of distribution as applied to income flows but a law of distribution that existed in any sizeable dataset.
Based on an analysis of the top 100 business and economics sites the distribution is as follows:
Blogs% Traffic %
10 72
20 82
30 89
40 92
50 95
60 97
70 98
80 99
90 99
Twenty per cent of the sites attract eighty two per cent of the traffic. Half the sites account for over 90% of the traffic. That’s about as good a Pareto fit as can be expected. Economic bloggers have a long tail but to be successful it has to be a fat one. Check out Chris Anderson but also check out the sting in the tale.
Chris Anderson : The Long Tail : Amazon
Download : What's wrong with Chris Anderson - the sting in the tale
You limited your sample to the top 100, due to a big lack of data. If you could look at all economics blogs, thousands or more, I don't think it would fit Pareto's 20/80 very well. It would probably be something like 2/80, or even more extreme. Plus, your data didn't include some of the huge ones like Krugman's.
Posted by: Richard H. Serlin | January 16, 2009 at 12:49 AM
Ah, the 80/20 rule, one of my favourite rules of thumb. It pops up everywhere.
Posted by: Mark Wadsworth | January 16, 2009 at 10:52 AM
Hi Richard,
Thanks for the visit and for the post.
Good spot. Gongol lists 150 sites with visitor scores.
Had the analysis included all, the ratio would have been 88:20 rather than 82: 20
And the 50 marker would have been 98:50 versus 95:50
That's still a good Pareto fit.
The post is a slight rail against the Chris Anderson Long Tail.
Hence the PDF
JKA
Posted by: JKA | January 16, 2009 at 11:59 AM
Gongol leaves out quite a few econ blogs. Where's Paul Krugman's blog? Where's News N Economics? Where's Bubble Meter?
Posted by: Bubble Meter | January 17, 2009 at 07:33 AM